tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, B6 675 at 22:39, with a 40% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 675 JetBlue Flight history → JFK 22:39 BDL 23:59 40% 13% 1.1% 64%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hartford on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → JFK 06:00 → ATL 08:29DL 2286 1h 56m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → BDL 12:48DL 1082 6h 48m 97% 85%
AmericanDetails → JFK 05:59 → CLT 07:57AA 2643 3h 33m Charlotte CLT 11:30 → BDL 13:33AA 2741 7h 34m 98% 79%
DeltaDetails → JFK 07:15 → DTW 09:23DL 5080 · flown by Endeavor 1h 07m Detroit DTW 10:30 → BDL 12:13DL 2163 4h 58m 89% 79%
DeltaDetails → JFK 08:40 → ATL 11:23DL 2227 2h 33m Atlanta ATL 13:56 → BDL 16:16DL 2739 7h 36m 96% 78%
DeltaDetails → JFK 16:30 → DTW 18:57DL 2443 2h 33m Detroit DTW 21:30 → BDL 23:14DL 2989 6h 44m 94% 75%
DeltaDetails → JFK 11:00 → ATL 13:33DL 1029 2h 01m Atlanta ATL 15:34 → BDL 17:59DL 2735 6h 59m 94% 71%
DeltaDetails → JFK 15:41 → ATL 18:34DL 1480 2h 57m Atlanta ATL 21:31 → BDL 23:54DL 1011 8h 13m 94% 68%
DeltaDetails → JFK 13:10 → ATL 15:45DL 2342 3h 11m Atlanta ATL 18:56 → BDL 21:19DL 2504 8h 09m 97% 68%
Tight connection: often missed
JetBlueDetails → JFK 12:15 → MCO 15:11B6 83 59m Orlando MCO 16:10 → BDL 19:03B6 138 6h 48m 74% 50%
AmericanDetails → JFK 14:42 → DFW 17:44AA 1953 1h 05m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:49 → BDL 23:31AA 1425 8h 49m 75% 41%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON