Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 5408 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	JFK 15:38	MCI 18:10	31%	10%	4.6%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Kansas City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind New York). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	JFK 06:00 → ATL 08:29DL 2286	2h 36m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → MCI 12:13DL 2747	7h 13m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	JFK 07:15 → DTW 09:23DL 5080 · flown by Endeavor	3h 02m Detroit	DTW 12:25 → MCI 13:24DL 2741	7h 09m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	JFK 06:00 → SLC 09:03DL 892	1h 31m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:34 → MCI 13:57DL 2882	8h 57m	98%	82%
American Details →	JFK 05:59 → CLT 07:57AA 2643	3h 31m Charlotte	CLT 11:28 → MCI 13:00AA 3233	8h 01m	98%	79%
Delta Details →	JFK 08:40 → ATL 11:23DL 2227	2h 01m Atlanta	ATL 13:24 → MCI 14:29DL 1443	6h 49m	95%	78%
Delta Details →	JFK 14:30 → BOS 16:08DL 5595 · flown by Republic	3h 20m Boston	BOS 19:28 → MCI 22:11DL 314	8h 41m	99%	73%
Delta Details →	JFK 11:10 → AUS 14:06DL 2323	2h 59m Austin	AUS 17:05 → MCI 19:16DL 3577 · flown by SkyWest	9h 06m	98%	73%
Delta Details →	JFK 11:00 → ATL 13:33DL 1029	1h 47m Atlanta	ATL 15:20 → MCI 16:30DL 1660	6h 30m	93%	72%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	JFK 18:51 → DFW 21:36AA 606	1h 08m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 22:44 → MCI 00:23 +1AA 1036	6h 32m	65%	39%
American Details →	JFK 17:45 → MIA 20:38AA 2603	1h 07m Miami	MIA 21:45 → MCI 23:59AA 670	7h 14m	58%	37%
American Details →	JFK 14:42 → DFW 17:44AA 1953	51m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:35 → MCI 20:20AA 2267	6h 38m	65%	36%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON