tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 15–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 3794 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → LAX 13:00 GEG 15:35 15% 6% 0.6% 94%
DL 3576 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → LAX 21:25 GEG 00:02 16% 6% 0.6% 86%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LAX 05:35 → SLC 08:30DL 2906 3h 00m Salt Lake City SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452 6h 37m 99% 82%
AlaskaDetails → LAX 11:23 → PDX 13:44AS 1355 3h 46m Portland PDX 17:30 → GEG 18:44AS 452 7h 21m 100% 82%
AlaskaDetails → LAX 08:10 → SEA 10:54AS 495 3h 28m Seattle SEA 14:22 → GEG 15:25AS 2074 · flown by Horizon 7h 15m 100% 81%
AlaskaDetails → LAX 07:00 → PDX 09:21AS 668 1h 09m Portland PDX 10:30 → GEG 11:45AS 250 4h 45m 93% 81%
DeltaDetails → LAX 09:55 → SLC 12:45DL 1434 2h 40m Salt Lake City SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503 6h 13m 96% 77%
DeltaDetails → LAX 14:00 → SEA 16:40DL 2606 3h 17m Seattle SEA 19:57 → GEG 21:13DL 3677 · flown by SkyWest 7h 13m 96% 76%
DeltaDetails → LAX 17:05 → SLC 19:58DL 2311 3h 17m Salt Lake City SLC 23:15 → GEG 23:55DL 1466 6h 50m 99% 73%
DeltaDetails → LAX 12:09 → SEA 14:55DL 1045 3h 04m Seattle SEA 17:59 → GEG 19:15DL 3832 · flown by SkyWest 7h 06m 96% 72%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → LAX 07:15 → SEA 10:00DL 2980 50m Seattle SEA 10:50 → GEG 12:11DL 3754 · flown by SkyWest 4h 56m 73% 56%
AlaskaDetails → LAX 17:55 → SEA 20:30AS 698 1h 00m Seattle SEA 21:30 → GEG 22:36AS 2071 · flown by Horizon 4h 41m 62% 44%
AlaskaDetails → LAX 08:10 → SEA 10:54AS 495 48m Seattle SEA 11:42 → GEG 12:51AS 454 4h 41m 16% 11%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON