Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 1080 at 18:14, with a 28% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 1080 Delta Flight history →	LAX 18:14	MEM 23:59	28%	11%	0.7%	68%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Memphis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	LAX 06:15 → MSP 11:52DL 792	3h 53m Minneapolis	MSP 15:45 → MEM 17:52DL 4063 · flown by SkyWest	9h 37m	100%	82%
American Details →	LAX 00:08 → PHL 08:34AA 2010	2h 03m Philadelphia	PHL 10:37 → MEM 12:19AA 5040 · flown by PSA	10h 11m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	LAX 11:15 → MSP 16:50DL 413	3h 15m Minneapolis	MSP 20:05 → MEM 22:15DL 4035 · flown by SkyWest	9h 00m	99%	80%
United Details →	LAX 08:10 → IAH 13:40UA 1416	2h 59m Houston	IAH 16:39 → MEM 18:35UA 4054 · flown by Mesa	8h 25m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	LAX 07:15 → SLC 10:10DL 1318	3h 30m Salt Lake City	SLC 13:40 → MEM 17:40DL 2515	8h 25m	98%	77%
American Details →	LAX 00:41 → DFW 05:51AA 971	3h 48m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:39 → MEM 11:11AA 1935	8h 30m	100%	75%
American Details →	LAX 06:00 → DFW 11:15AA 2811	1h 20m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 12:35 → MEM 14:16AA 3888 · flown by Envoy	6h 16m	94%	75%
Delta Details →	LAX 06:00 → ATL 13:35DL 390	1h 36m Atlanta	ATL 15:11 → MEM 15:33DL 1700	7h 33m	96%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	LAX 13:15 → ATL 20:56DL 395	53m Atlanta	ATL 21:49 → MEM 22:12DL 1577	6h 57m	62%	41%
American Details →	LAX 13:58 → CLT 21:55AA 1988	58m Charlotte	CLT 22:53 → MEM 23:45AA 1372	7h 47m	63%	39%
American Details →	LAX 15:19 → DFW 20:38AA 1657	55m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:33 → MEM 23:17AA 1758	5h 58m	61%	34%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON