Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–22% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 6506 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	LAX 08:54	OMA 14:09	16%	7%	0.6%	91%
AA 6224 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	LAX 18:32	OMA 23:57	22%	10%	1.5%	74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	LAX 05:35 → SLC 08:30DL 2906	1h 32m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:02 → OMA 13:27DL 4114 · flown by SkyWest	5h 52m	96%	86%
Delta Details →	LAX 07:15 → SLC 10:10DL 1318	3h 20m Salt Lake City	SLC 13:30 → OMA 16:51DL 3896 · flown by SkyWest	7h 36m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	LAX 05:30 → DTW 12:56DL 2399	3h 04m Detroit	DTW 16:00 → OMA 17:10DL 3889 · flown by SkyWest	9h 40m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	LAX 09:45 → DTW 17:08DL 494	2h 37m Detroit	DTW 19:45 → OMA 20:53DL 3715 · flown by SkyWest	9h 08m	97%	81%
American Details →	LAX 00:41 → DFW 05:51AA 971	1h 24m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 07:15 → OMA 09:13AA 2135	6h 32m	93%	77%
Delta Details →	LAX 06:00 → ATL 13:35DL 390	2h 50m Atlanta	ATL 16:25 → OMA 17:48DL 2364	9h 48m	98%	76%
United Details →	LAX 07:00 → DEN 10:29UA 703	3h 21m Denver	DEN 13:50 → OMA 16:24UA 2327	7h 24m	99%	73%
Delta Details →	LAX 12:35 → MSP 18:11DL 914	3h 19m Minneapolis	MSP 21:30 → OMA 22:48DL 4014 · flown by SkyWest	8h 13m	99%	73%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	LAX 13:58 → CLT 21:55AA 1988	46m Charlotte	CLT 22:41 → OMA 00:19 +1AA 961	8h 21m	57%	36%
American Details →	LAX 15:19 → DFW 20:38AA 1657	52m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:30 → OMA 23:22AA 2628	6h 03m	60%	30%
United Details →	LAX 14:26 → ORD 20:40UA 2487	1h 00m Chicago	ORD 21:40 → OMA 23:18UA 2336	6h 52m	56%	26%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON