tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, AS 3303 at 19:45, with a 19% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AS 3303 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history → LAX 19:45 PSC 22:17 19% 8% 0.6% 87%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pasco on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LAX 05:35 → SLC 08:30DL 2906 3h 54m Salt Lake City SLC 12:24 → PSC 13:09DL 3892 · flown by SkyWest 7h 34m 99% 86%
AlaskaDetails → LAX 17:55 → SEA 20:30AS 698 2h 14m Seattle SEA 22:44 → PSC 23:43AS 2403 · flown by Horizon 5h 48m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → LAX 09:55 → SLC 12:45DL 1434 3h 07m Salt Lake City SLC 15:52 → PSC 16:38DL 3728 · flown by SkyWest 6h 43m 97% 78%
AlaskaDetails → LAX 11:31 → SEA 14:14AS 798 2h 14m Seattle SEA 16:28 → PSC 17:27AS 2367 · flown by Horizon 5h 56m 95% 76%
DeltaDetails → LAX 17:05 → SLC 19:58DL 2311 3h 17m Salt Lake City SLC 23:15 → PSC 23:54DL 1712 6h 49m 99% 73%
DeltaDetails → LAX 07:15 → SEA 10:00DL 2980 3h 40m Seattle SEA 13:40 → PSC 14:54DL 3891 · flown by SkyWest 7h 39m 97% 72%
DeltaDetails → LAX 17:45 → SEA 20:27DL 2640 2h 18m Seattle SEA 22:45 → PSC 23:53DL 4017 · flown by SkyWest 6h 08m 94% 70%
AmericanDetails → LAX 16:39 → PHX 18:10AA 2032 2h 32m Phoenix PHX 20:42 → PSC 23:26AA 5006 · flown by SkyWest 6h 47m 92% 70%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → LAX 11:23 → PDX 13:44AS 1355 47m Portland PDX 14:31 → PSC 15:22AS 2475 · flown by Horizon 3h 59m 63% 51%
UnitedDetails → LAX 14:30 → DEN 18:00UA 2758 1h 10m Denver DEN 19:10 → PSC 20:40UA 1737 6h 10m 73% 39%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON