tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 5268 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record LGA 11:37 ALB 12:47 16% 6% 6.0% 84%
DL 5493 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record LGA 21:58 ALB 23:09 35% 17% 6.7% 65%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:05 → DTW 07:55DL 1231 2h 10m Detroit DTW 10:05 → ALB 11:47DL 5522 · flown by Endeavor 5h 41m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → LGA 09:25 → DTW 11:24DL 1078 3h 11m Detroit DTW 14:35 → ALB 16:15DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest 6h 50m 100% 83%
AmericanDetails → LGA 06:00 → CLT 07:58AA 3084 1h 11m Charlotte CLT 09:09 → ALB 11:19AA 710 5h 19m 96% 79%
DeltaDetails → LGA 09:56 → ATL 12:20DL 989 2h 53m Atlanta ATL 15:13 → ALB 17:36DL 1241 7h 40m 99% 76%
DeltaDetails → LGA 17:00 → DTW 19:39DL 999 2h 06m Detroit DTW 21:45 → ALB 23:21DL 2660 6h 21m 94% 71%
AmericanDetails → LGA 10:00 → CLT 11:54AA 2036 1h 25m Charlotte CLT 13:19 → ALB 15:30AA 1075 5h 30m 86% 68%
AmericanDetails → LGA 12:10 → CLT 14:14AA 1150 2h 01m Charlotte CLT 16:15 → ALB 18:26AA 2275 6h 16m 96% 65%
DeltaDetails → LGA 17:00 → ATL 20:24DL 968 1h 14m Atlanta ATL 21:38 → ALB 23:59DL 2584 6h 59m 86% 63%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → LGA 19:51 → DCA 21:21AA 4473 · flown by Republic 54m Washington DCA 22:15 → ALB 23:42AA 5065 · flown by PSA 3h 51m 54% 34%
AmericanDetails → LGA 18:18 → ORD 20:04AA 1795 56m Chicago ORD 21:00 → ALB 00:03 +1AA 3420 · flown by Envoy 5h 45m 52% 30%
UnitedDetails → LGA 15:25 → ORD 17:20UA 1504 47m Chicago ORD 18:07 → ALB 21:08UA 1382 5h 43m 52% 25%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON