tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 4675 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record LGA 13:45 CHA 16:04 26% 10% 2.7% 74%
DL 5276 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record LGA 19:50 CHA 22:22 36% 18% 9.5% 64%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Chattanooga on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → LGA 06:10 → ORD 07:49UA 2389 2h 36m Chicago ORD 10:25 → CHA 13:16UA 4543 · flown by GoJet 7h 06m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 550 3h 10m Atlanta ATL 11:33 → CHA 12:22DL 1737 6h 22m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → LGA 06:00 → CLT 07:58AA 3084 3h 27m Charlotte CLT 11:25 → CHA 12:54AA 6127 · flown by Piedmont 6h 54m 99% 78%
DeltaDetails → LGA 07:53 → ATL 10:17DL 364 2h 56m Atlanta ATL 13:13 → CHA 14:02DL 3141 6h 09m 100% 78%
DeltaDetails → LGA 10:59 → ATL 13:20DL 993 3h 24m Atlanta ATL 16:44 → CHA 17:41DL 3124 6h 42m 99% 75%
DeltaDetails → LGA 14:29 → DTW 16:34DL 308 3h 36m Detroit DTW 20:10 → CHA 22:02DL 4894 · flown by Endeavor 7h 33m 97% 74%
AmericanDetails → LGA 14:31 → CLT 16:53AA 2033 3h 31m Charlotte CLT 20:24 → CHA 21:52AA 5787 · flown by Piedmont 7h 21m 95% 74%
DeltaDetails → LGA 14:00 → ATL 16:38DL 988 2h 57m Atlanta ATL 19:35 → CHA 20:32DL 1722 6h 32m 98% 73%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → LGA 17:00 → ATL 20:24DL 968 46m Atlanta ATL 21:10 → CHA 22:11DL 5368 · flown by Endeavor 5h 14m 72% 33%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON