Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 4989 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	LGA 10:45	ECP 12:37	21%	5%	5.0%	79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Panama City Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Panama City Beach is 1 h behind New York). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	LGA 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 550	2h 18m Atlanta	ATL 10:41 → ECP 10:48DL 3045	5h 48m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	LGA 07:53 → ATL 10:17DL 364	3h 32m Atlanta	ATL 13:49 → ECP 13:54DL 2823	7h 01m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	LGA 09:56 → ATL 12:20DL 989	3h 41m Atlanta	ATL 16:01 → ECP 16:12DL 3094	7h 16m	99%	80%
American Details →	LGA 06:00 → CLT 07:58AA 3084	1h 56m Charlotte	CLT 09:54 → ECP 10:48AA 5262 · flown by PSA	5h 48m	97%	79%
Delta Details →	LGA 11:59 → ATL 14:31DL 990	3h 14m Atlanta	ATL 17:45 → ECP 17:55DL 3053	6h 56m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	LGA 17:00 → ATL 20:24DL 968	3h 03m Atlanta	ATL 23:27 → ECP 23:37DL 3131	7h 37m	97%	78%
Delta Details →	LGA 14:00 → ATL 16:38DL 988	3h 57m Atlanta	ATL 20:35 → ECP 20:46DL 2494	7h 46m	99%	78%
United Details →	LGA 14:00 → IAH 17:01UA 2674	3h 00m Houston	IAH 20:01 → ECP 21:58UA 4343 · flown by CommuteAir	8h 58m	98%	74%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON