tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: American via Charlotte, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Myrtle Beach on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → LGA 06:00 → CLT 07:58AA 3084 3h 22m Charlotte CLT 11:20 → MYR 12:36AA 5883 · flown by Piedmont 6h 36m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 550 3h 25m Atlanta ATL 11:48 → MYR 13:00DL 3182 7h 00m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:05 → DTW 07:55DL 1231 50m Detroit DTW 08:45 → MYR 10:39DL 1145 4h 34m 92% 81%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:59 → BOS 08:23DL 5793 · flown by Republic 1h 02m Boston BOS 09:25 → MYR 11:42DL 3087 4h 43m 97% 80%
DeltaDetails → LGA 16:00 → ATL 19:07DL 969 3h 33m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → MYR 23:55DL 3074 7h 55m 98% 72%
AmericanDetails → LGA 10:00 → CLT 11:54AA 2036 2h 46m Charlotte CLT 14:40 → MYR 15:53AA 1687 5h 53m 98% 71%
DeltaDetails → LGA 11:59 → ATL 14:31DL 990 3h 17m Atlanta ATL 17:48 → MYR 19:07DL 1093 7h 08m 99% 68%
AmericanDetails → LGA 12:10 → CLT 14:14AA 1150 2h 16m Charlotte CLT 16:30 → MYR 17:46AA 2943 5h 36m 97% 65%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON