Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 379 at 10:17, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 379 Delta Flight history →	LGA 10:17	RSW 13:25	15%	4%	1.9%	86%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	LGA 06:00 → MSP 07:53DL 2510	1h 12m Minneapolis	MSP 09:05 → RSW 13:27DL 2400	7h 27m	97%	82%
Delta Details →	LGA 09:25 → DTW 11:24DL 1078	3h 04m Detroit	DTW 14:28 → RSW 17:22DL 1225	7h 57m	99%	81%
Delta Details →	LGA 07:55 → MSP 09:53DL 2473	2h 56m Minneapolis	MSP 12:49 → RSW 17:19DL 2219	9h 24m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	LGA 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 550	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153	6h 11m	99%	79%
Delta Details →	LGA 07:53 → ATL 10:17DL 364	2h 36m Atlanta	ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196	6h 42m	100%	78%
United Details →	LGA 06:10 → ORD 07:49UA 2389	2h 59m Chicago	ORD 10:48 → RSW 14:47UA 2137	8h 37m	100%	76%
Delta Details →	LGA 09:00 → ATL 11:32DL 992	3h 27m Atlanta	ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379	7h 44m	99%	76%
American Details →	LGA 06:00 → CLT 07:58AA 3084	2h 59m Charlotte	CLT 10:57 → RSW 13:02AA 2018	7h 02m	98%	75%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	LGA 16:00 → ORD 18:08AA 396	1h 21m Chicago	ORD 19:29 → RSW 23:29AA 3238	7h 29m	72%	31%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON