Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, WN 2920 at 10:45, with a 10% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 2920 Southwest	MCI 10:45	ECP 13:05	10%	3%	1.1%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Panama City Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MCI 05:39 → ATL 08:43DL 1204	1h 58m Atlanta	ATL 10:41 → ECP 10:48DL 3045	5h 09m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	MCI 08:00 → ATL 11:01DL 3110	2h 48m Atlanta	ATL 13:49 → ECP 13:54DL 2823	5h 54m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	MCI 17:40 → ATL 20:54DL 1660	2h 33m Atlanta	ATL 23:27 → ECP 23:37DL 3131	5h 57m	99%	79%
Delta Details →	MCI 10:43 → ATL 13:47DL 2471	2h 14m Atlanta	ATL 16:01 → ECP 16:12DL 3094	5h 29m	98%	79%
Delta Details →	MCI 12:16 → ATL 15:23DL 2908	2h 22m Atlanta	ATL 17:45 → ECP 17:55DL 3053	5h 39m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	MCI 15:38 → ATL 18:48DL 1443	1h 47m Atlanta	ATL 20:35 → ECP 20:46DL 2494	5h 08m	95%	74%
United Details →	MCI 14:56 → IAH 17:13UA 6124 · flown by Mesa	2h 48m Houston	IAH 20:01 → ECP 21:58UA 4343 · flown by CommuteAir	7h 02m	98%	74%
American Details →	MCI 05:31 → DFW 07:23AA 1098	2h 07m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:30 → ECP 11:37AA 3625 · flown by Envoy	6h 06m	97%	72%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON