Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, WN 2655 at 15:25, with a 31% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 2655 Southwest	MCI 15:25	FLL 19:28	31%	10%	1.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MCI 06:23 → MSP 07:54DL 1635	56m Minneapolis	MSP 08:50 → FLL 13:25DL 673	6h 02m	93%	79%
Delta Details →	MCI 06:25 → DTW 09:23DL 1256	3h 07m Detroit	DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294	8h 09m	100%	76%
Delta Details →	MCI 05:39 → ATL 08:43DL 1204	2h 42m Atlanta	ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063	6h 41m	100%	75%
United Details →	MCI 06:00 → DEN 06:56UA 355	3h 02m Denver	DEN 09:58 → FLL 16:08UA 1214	9h 08m	97%	74%
Delta Details →	MCI 07:00 → ATL 10:03DL 1212	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 12:43 → FLL 14:39DL 1341	6h 39m	98%	71%
Delta Details →	MCI 10:32 → DTW 13:30DL 2826	2h 26m Detroit	DTW 15:56 → FLL 19:00DL 1037	7h 28m	99%	69%
Delta Details →	MCI 14:10 → DTW 17:07DL 2741	3h 37m Detroit	DTW 20:44 → FLL 23:42DL 2296	8h 32m	100%	69%
Delta Details →	MCI 06:00 → LGA 09:50DL 370	1h 05m New York	LGA 10:55 → FLL 13:54DL 1181	6h 54m	95%	69%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	MCI 18:40 → ATL 21:54DL 1470	51m Atlanta	ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229	4h 59m	74%	49%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON