Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, WN 749 at 18:50, with a 23% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 749 Southwest	MCI 18:50	SAT 20:59	23%	11%	1.2%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Antonio on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	MCI 06:00 → DEN 06:56UA 355	2h 39m Denver	DEN 09:35 → SAT 12:43UA 2625	6h 43m	96%	83%
Delta Details →	MCI 06:23 → MSP 07:54DL 1635	1h 06m Minneapolis	MSP 09:00 → SAT 11:49DL 2667	5h 26m	95%	83%
Delta Details →	MCI 07:05 → SLC 08:44DL 2897	1h 06m Salt Lake City	SLC 09:50 → SAT 13:36DL 3123	6h 31m	95%	81%
Delta Details →	MCI 07:00 → ATL 10:03DL 1212	2h 12m Atlanta	ATL 12:15 → SAT 13:38DL 1408	6h 38m	98%	81%
United Details →	MCI 06:16 → IAH 08:25UA 740	1h 14m Houston	IAH 09:39 → SAT 10:46UA 6201 · flown by Mesa	4h 30m	94%	79%
Delta Details →	MCI 07:23 → LAX 08:47DL 2337	1h 08m Los Angeles	LAX 09:55 → SAT 14:53DL 2568	7h 30m	95%	77%
Delta Details →	MCI 08:00 → ATL 11:01DL 3110	2h 44m Atlanta	ATL 13:45 → SAT 15:10DL 2009	7h 10m	98%	76%
Delta Details →	MCI 10:43 → ATL 13:47DL 2471	1h 53m Atlanta	ATL 15:40 → SAT 17:11DL 1465	6h 28m	98%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	MCI 16:04 → MSP 17:40DL 1613	55m Minneapolis	MSP 18:35 → SAT 21:26DL 2773	5h 22m	73%	56%
Delta Details →	MCI 18:00 → SLC 19:41DL 2903	59m Salt Lake City	SLC 20:40 → SAT 00:26 +1DL 2797	6h 26m	74%	47%
American Details →	MCI 17:18 → DFW 19:03AA 3030	52m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:55 → SAT 21:03AA 546	3h 45m	60%	30%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON