tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 21–27% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
B6 2656 JetBlue Flight history → MCO 12:47 SYR 15:41 21% 6% 1.3% 81%
B6 1656 JetBlue MCO 16:36 SYR 19:42 27% 12% 1.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Syracuse on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → MCO 07:28 → PHL 10:05AA 1228 3h 07m Philadelphia PHL 13:12 → SYR 14:34AA 5924 · flown by Piedmont 7h 06m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → MCO 05:30 → ATL 07:05DL 1548 2h 10m Atlanta ATL 09:15 → SYR 11:25DL 1375 5h 55m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → MCO 07:05 → ATL 08:46DL 2080 3h 33m Atlanta ATL 12:19 → SYR 14:29DL 2991 7h 24m 99% 81%
DeltaDetails → MCO 11:05 → ATL 12:42DL 1213 3h 01m Atlanta ATL 15:43 → SYR 17:59DL 2690 6h 54m 98% 74%
AmericanDetails → MCO 07:53 → CLT 09:42AA 461 3h 54m Charlotte CLT 13:36 → SYR 15:34AA 1950 7h 41m 100% 73%
DeltaDetails → MCO 15:00 → MSP 17:39DL 1208 2h 51m Minneapolis MSP 20:30 → SYR 23:45DL 2546 8h 45m 95% 72%
UnitedDetails → MCO 12:45 → IAD 15:12UA 1757 2h 13m Dulles IAD 17:25 → SYR 19:04UA 4977 · flown by CommuteAir 6h 19m 96% 70%
UnitedDetails → MCO 09:04 → ORD 11:10UA 2466 2h 45m Chicago ORD 13:55 → SYR 16:48UA 2343 7h 44m 98% 66%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → MCO 11:05 → JFK 13:46DL 2049 48m New York JFK 14:34 → SYR 16:11DL 5328 · flown by Endeavor 5h 06m 71% 56%
UnitedDetails → MCO 19:05 → IAD 21:30UA 1997 55m Dulles IAD 22:25 → SYR 23:59UA 4856 · flown by CommuteAir 4h 54m 75% 54%
JetBlueDetails → MCO 18:51 → JFK 21:31B6 1184 58m New York JFK 22:29 → SYR 00:03 +1B6 1516 5h 12m 51% 33%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON