Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: WN 2941 at 10:05 is the safest bet, 8% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 35%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


WN 2941 Southwest	MDW 10:05	OKC 12:17	8%	2%	0.8%	no record
WN 3269 Southwest	MDW 22:20	OKC 00:34	35%	9%	1.9%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MDW 06:00 → ATL 08:57DL 1285	2h 08m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → OKC 12:14DL 2020	6h 14m	97%	84%
Delta Details →	MDW 12:41 → ATL 15:43DL 2417	3h 22m Atlanta	ATL 19:05 → OKC 20:15DL 2784	7h 34m	98%	71%
Delta Details →	MDW 17:10 → ATL 20:22DL 1728	2h 22m Atlanta	ATL 22:44 → OKC 23:52DL 2423	6h 42m	94%	71%
Delta Details →	MDW 11:05 → ATL 14:01DL 1063	1h 14m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → OKC 16:22DL 2862	5h 17m	91%	69%
Delta Details →	MDW 13:49 → MSP 15:33DL 4820 · flown by Endeavor	2h 37m Minneapolis	MSP 18:10 → OKC 20:15DL 3791 · flown by SkyWest	6h 26m	89%	67%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON