Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 2290 at 07:15, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2290 Delta Flight history →	MEM 07:15	SLC 09:33	8%	4%	0.8%	90%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Memphis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MEM 05:15 → ATL 07:34DL 1666	2h 36m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	7h 55m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	MEM 06:45 → AUS 08:37DL 4088 · flown by SkyWest	3h 43m Austin	AUS 12:20 → SLC 14:09DL 2671	8h 24m	98%	76%
Delta Details →	MEM 06:20 → ATL 08:44DL 1624	3h 12m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	8h 30m	99%	76%
Delta Details →	MEM 06:32 → DTW 09:27DL 2370	2h 53m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → SLC 14:11DL 935	8h 39m	98%	76%
Delta Details →	MEM 06:00 → BOS 10:01DL 5604 · flown by Republic	1h 14m Boston	BOS 11:15 → SLC 14:20DL 464	9h 20m	96%	75%
American Details →	MEM 05:13 → CLT 08:01AA 1846	1h 31m Charlotte	CLT 09:32 → SLC 11:53AA 1895	7h 40m	96%	75%
Delta Details →	MEM 12:09 → MSP 14:22DL 3989 · flown by SkyWest	3h 51m Minneapolis	MSP 18:13 → SLC 20:07DL 2607	8h 58m	99%	73%
American Details →	MEM 05:37 → DFW 07:18AA 1940	1h 25m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 08:43 → SLC 10:37AA 1878	6h 00m	95%	72%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	MEM 09:46 → ORD 11:57UA 5672 · flown by SkyWest	48m Chicago	ORD 12:45 → SLC 15:22UA 1955	6h 36m	71%	47%
United Details →	MEM 18:35 → ORD 20:40UA 5336 · flown by SkyWest	51m Chicago	ORD 21:31 → SLC 23:50UA 1710	6h 15m	46%	18%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON