Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, AA 1702 at 20:59, with a 31% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


AA 1702 American Flight history →	MIA 20:59	PIT 23:48	31%	15%	1.1%	72%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	MIA 06:19 → DCA 09:00AA 491	3h 59m Washington	DCA 12:59 → PIT 14:17AA 4446 · flown by Republic	7h 58m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:01DL 1249	3h 09m Atlanta	ATL 11:10 → PIT 12:52DL 1345	6h 52m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	MIA 06:25 → LGA 09:24DL 2387	1h 14m New York	LGA 10:38 → PIT 12:16DL 5694 · flown by Republic	5h 51m	96%	86%
Delta Details →	MIA 08:20 → ATL 10:20DL 1261	3h 48m Atlanta	ATL 14:08 → PIT 15:50DL 1353	7h 30m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	MIA 15:29 → LGA 18:45DL 1538	2h 35m New York	LGA 21:20 → PIT 23:09DL 5722 · flown by Republic	7h 40m	97%	84%
American Details →	MIA 06:24 → CLT 08:20AA 3004	1h 35m Charlotte	CLT 09:55 → PIT 11:27AA 2888	5h 03m	98%	83%
American Details →	MIA 05:25 → DFW 07:40AA 1226	2h 54m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:34 → PIT 14:19AA 2664	8h 54m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	MIA 18:00 → ATL 20:14DL 1386	2h 50m Atlanta	ATL 23:04 → PIT 00:50 +1DL 1351	6h 50m	94%	79%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	MIA 18:00 → ATL 20:14DL 1386	1h 00m Atlanta	ATL 21:14 → PIT 23:00DL 2583	5h 00m	59%	46%
American Details →	MIA 17:00 → ORD 19:53AA 3056	49m Chicago	ORD 20:42 → PIT 23:22AA 4527 · flown by Republic	6h 22m	43%	27%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON