Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, AA 3257 at 22:30, with a 27% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


AA 3257 American	MIA 22:30	SAV 00:05	27%	10%	1.8%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	MIA 06:24 → CLT 08:20AA 3004	2h 50m Charlotte	CLT 11:10 → SAV 12:35AA 5890 · flown by Piedmont	6h 11m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:01DL 1249	1h 22m Atlanta	ATL 09:23 → SAV 10:27DL 3054	4h 27m	95%	85%
Delta Details →	MIA 08:20 → ATL 10:20DL 1261	3h 12m Atlanta	ATL 13:32 → SAV 14:38DL 1067	6h 18m	98%	83%
American Details →	MIA 06:45 → PHL 09:38AA 2129	1h 25m Philadelphia	PHL 11:03 → SAV 13:08AA 2793	6h 23m	94%	81%
Delta Details →	MIA 10:40 → ATL 12:48DL 2836	2h 15m Atlanta	ATL 15:03 → SAV 16:14DL 3014	5h 34m	94%	78%
Delta Details →	MIA 16:51 → ATL 18:55DL 1323	3h 51m Atlanta	ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860	7h 02m	98%	77%
United Details →	MIA 07:07 → EWR 10:11UA 1864	1h 38m Newark	EWR 11:49 → SAV 14:02UA 1636	6h 55m	96%	77%
Delta Details →	MIA 12:05 → ATL 14:12DL 1510	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 16:50 → SAV 18:02DL 3112	5h 57m	96%	76%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	MIA 16:51 → ATL 18:55DL 1323	1h 11m Atlanta	ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425	4h 26m	65%	50%
Delta Details →	MIA 12:05 → ATL 14:12DL 1510	51m Atlanta	ATL 15:03 → SAV 16:14DL 3014	4h 09m	52%	42%
Delta Details →	MIA 15:29 → LGA 18:45DL 1538	1h 00m New York	LGA 19:45 → SAV 22:16DL 5398 · flown by Endeavor	6h 50m	71%	35%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON