tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–24% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
B6 2230 JetBlue Flight history → MKE 09:35 BOS 12:48 16% 5% 0.6% 77%
DL 5619 Delta flown by Republic Flight history → MKE 18:59 BOS 22:26 24% 7% 1.1% 77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Boston is 1 h ahead of Milwaukee). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MKE 05:45 → ATL 08:46DL 1221 1h 19m Atlanta ATL 10:05 → BOS 12:45DL 855 6h 00m 96% 86%
UnitedDetails → MKE 05:00 → ORD 05:59UA 5799 · flown by SkyWest 1h 50m Chicago ORD 07:49 → BOS 11:17UA 659 5h 17m 96% 86%
DeltaDetails → MKE 06:00 → LGA 09:15DL 5625 · flown by Republic 1h 45m New York LGA 11:00 → BOS 12:22DL 5745 · flown by Republic 5h 22m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → MKE 06:50 → ATL 09:57DL 1236 1h 13m Atlanta ATL 11:10 → BOS 13:47DL 862 5h 57m 93% 82%
AmericanDetails → MKE 06:00 → DCA 09:11AA 5646 · flown by PSA 1h 29m Washington DCA 10:40 → BOS 12:18AA 1015 5h 18m 95% 81%
AmericanDetails → MKE 05:01 → ORD 06:00AA 6261 · flown by SkyWest 56m Chicago ORD 06:56 → BOS 10:20AA 3067 4h 19m 91% 81%
UnitedDetails → MKE 06:20 → ORD 07:30UA 5896 · flown by SkyWest 1h 33m Chicago ORD 09:03 → BOS 12:24UA 1367 5h 04m 94% 81%
UnitedDetails → MKE 06:14 → EWR 09:35UA 3470 · flown by Republic 1h 47m Newark EWR 11:22 → BOS 12:33UA 1669 5h 19m 96% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → MKE 18:40 → DTW 20:57DL 3675 · flown by SkyWest 1h 02m Detroit DTW 21:59 → BOS 23:59DL 1187 4h 19m 72% 56%
DeltaDetails → MKE 15:59 → MSP 17:21DL 2006 49m Minneapolis MSP 18:10 → BOS 22:01DL 1502 5h 02m 72% 54%
UnitedDetails → MKE 18:35 → ORD 19:34UA 5420 · flown by SkyWest 2h 07m Chicago ORD 21:41 → BOS 01:14 +1UA 1779 5h 39m 65% 35%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON