Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 5404 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	MKE 07:00	JFK 10:22	16%	10%	7.3%	84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Milwaukee). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MKE 05:45 → ATL 08:46DL 1221	2h 19m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → JFK 13:20DL 2380	6h 35m	97%	81%
Delta Details →	MKE 06:50 → ATL 09:57DL 1236	3h 58m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → JFK 16:29DL 1575	8h 39m	98%	79%
American Details →	MKE 05:01 → ORD 06:00AA 6261 · flown by SkyWest	2h 00m Chicago	ORD 08:00 → JFK 10:59AA 4590 · flown by Republic	4h 58m	96%	78%
American Details →	MKE 06:00 → DCA 09:11AA 5646 · flown by PSA	3h 48m Washington	DCA 12:59 → JFK 14:21AA 4522 · flown by Republic	7h 21m	97%	76%
Delta Details →	MKE 12:58 → ATL 16:07DL 1151	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 18:45 → JFK 21:29DL 2398	7h 31m	99%	72%
Delta Details →	MKE 16:14 → ATL 19:25DL 2152	3h 15m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → JFK 00:51 +1DL 1632	7h 37m	98%	70%
JetBlue Details →	MKE 09:35 → BOS 12:48B6 2230	2h 53m Boston	BOS 15:41 → JFK 17:04B6 8428	6h 29m	99%	70%
American Details →	MKE 07:21 → DFW 10:00AA 2621	3h 11m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:11 → JFK 17:47AA 1058	9h 26m	98%	68%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	MKE 15:59 → MSP 17:21DL 2006	49m Minneapolis	MSP 18:10 → JFK 22:09DL 5244 · flown by Endeavor	5h 10m	72%	33%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON