Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 2463 at 12:41, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2463 Delta Flight history →	MSP 12:41	CHS 16:25	15%	4%	1.1%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charleston is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	1h 52m Atlanta	ATL 10:46 → CHS 12:00DL 3107	5h 40m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 14:40 → CHS 15:53DL 1381	6h 27m	100%	81%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039	1h 59m Atlanta	ATL 12:31 → CHS 13:42DL 2179	5h 42m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → BOS 10:45DL 2649	1h 21m Boston	BOS 12:06 → CHS 14:40DL 2785	6h 40m	96%	79%
Delta Details →	MSP 06:55 → JFK 10:39DL 2969	2h 45m New York	JFK 13:24 → CHS 15:31DL 5200 · flown by Endeavor	7h 36m	99%	76%
United Details →	MSP 07:35 → IAH 10:30UA 2460	2h 05m Houston	IAH 12:35 → CHS 16:17UA 6295 · flown by Mesa	7h 42m	97%	76%
American Details →	MSP 06:19 → CLT 10:00AA 894	3h 13m Charlotte	CLT 13:13 → CHS 14:25AA 5222 · flown by PSA	7h 06m	99%	76%
Delta Details →	MSP 17:18 → ATL 21:05DL 1036	2h 05m Atlanta	ATL 23:10 → CHS 00:26 +1DL 2850	6h 08m	96%	75%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	MSP 17:47 → CLT 21:16AA 2140	52m Charlotte	CLT 22:08 → CHS 23:11AA 3064	4h 24m	63%	42%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON