Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 3791 at 18:10, with a 21% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 3791 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	MSP 18:10	OKC 20:15	21%	9%	0.7%	78%
DL 5142 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	MSP 09:05	OKC 11:16	25%	9%	0.0%	75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	MSP 05:25 → DEN 06:33UA 2041	1h 27m Denver	DEN 08:00 → OKC 10:47UA 6029 · flown by SkyWest	5h 22m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	2h 11m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → OKC 12:14DL 2020	6h 54m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	MSP 11:38 → SAN 13:24DL 2125	1h 37m San Diego	SAN 15:01 → OKC 19:45DL 843	8h 07m	94%	77%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	3h 21m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → OKC 16:22DL 2862	7h 56m	100%	77%
Delta Details →	MSP 17:18 → ATL 21:05DL 1036	1h 39m Atlanta	ATL 22:44 → OKC 23:52DL 2423	6h 34m	94%	74%
American Details →	MSP 06:00 → DFW 08:33AA 1395	2h 03m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:36 → OKC 11:49AA 3099	5h 49m	97%	74%
American Details →	MSP 14:52 → PHX 16:20AA 408	2h 36m Phoenix	PHX 18:56 → OKC 23:15AA 6320 · flown by SkyWest	8h 23m	100%	73%
Delta Details →	MSP 12:45 → ATL 16:22DL 1048	2h 43m Atlanta	ATL 19:05 → OKC 20:15DL 2784	7h 30m	97%	71%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON