Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 2574 at 12:45, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2574 Delta Flight history →	MSP 12:45	SAV 16:23	13%	3%	0.7%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	MSP 05:25 → DEN 06:33UA 2041	3h 25m Denver	DEN 09:58 → SAV 15:29UA 361	9h 04m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039	3h 00m Atlanta	ATL 13:32 → SAV 14:38DL 1067	6h 38m	99%	84%
American Details →	MSP 06:19 → CLT 10:00AA 894	1h 10m Charlotte	CLT 11:10 → SAV 12:35AA 5890 · flown by Piedmont	5h 16m	94%	84%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	3h 09m Atlanta	ATL 15:03 → SAV 16:14DL 3014	6h 48m	100%	83%
Delta Details →	MSP 10:05 → BOS 13:51DL 2655	1h 09m Boston	BOS 15:00 → SAV 17:49DL 5647 · flown by Republic	6h 44m	91%	81%
Delta Details →	MSP 10:32 → ATL 14:04DL 1046	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 16:50 → SAV 18:02DL 3112	6h 30m	99%	80%
United Details →	MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307	3h 10m Chicago	ORD 10:54 → SAV 14:10UA 1612	7h 10m	99%	79%
Delta Details →	MSP 17:18 → ATL 21:05DL 1036	1h 41m Atlanta	ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860	5h 35m	95%	76%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON