Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 2546 at 20:30, with a 23% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2546 Delta	MSP 20:30	SYR 23:45	23%	6%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Syracuse on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Syracuse is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	MSP 05:25 → DEN 06:33UA 2041	3h 19m Denver	DEN 09:52 → SYR 15:15UA 211	8h 50m	100%	83%
Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	3h 25m Atlanta	ATL 12:19 → SYR 14:29DL 2991	8h 09m	99%	81%
Delta Details →	MSP 06:55 → JFK 10:39DL 2969	3h 55m New York	JFK 14:34 → SYR 16:11DL 5328 · flown by Endeavor	8h 16m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	3h 49m Atlanta	ATL 15:43 → SYR 17:59DL 2690	8h 33m	100%	76%
Delta Details →	MSP 16:15 → DTW 18:59DL 1476	2h 36m Detroit	DTW 21:35 → SYR 22:58DL 1689	5h 43m	99%	76%
American Details →	MSP 06:19 → CLT 10:00AA 894	3h 36m Charlotte	CLT 13:36 → SYR 15:34AA 1950	8h 15m	99%	72%
American Details →	MSP 15:54 → PHL 19:47AA 3294	2h 33m Philadelphia	PHL 22:20 → SYR 23:45AA 6103 · flown by Piedmont	6h 51m	87%	63%
Delta Details →	MSP 10:05 → LGA 13:45DL 2764	2h 07m New York	LGA 15:52 → SYR 17:26DL 5062 · flown by Endeavor	6h 20m	98%	57%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	MSP 15:16 → ORD 16:58UA 1531	1h 11m Chicago	ORD 18:09 → SYR 21:09UA 2481	4h 53m	72%	38%
Delta Details →	MSP 18:10 → JFK 22:09DL 5244 · flown by Endeavor	47m New York	JFK 22:56 → SYR 00:43 +1DL 5371 · flown by Endeavor	5h 33m	44%	28%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON