tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 10–18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1094 Southwest MYR 11:25 BNA 12:13 10% 3% 0.8% no record
WN 3145 Southwest MYR 16:05 BNA 16:51 18% 5% 1.0% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Myrtle Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162 2h 21m Atlanta ATL 09:40 → BNA 09:50DL 1155 4h 50m 96% 85%
AmericanDetails → MYR 06:51 → CLT 07:58AA 3296 3h 27m Charlotte CLT 11:25 → BNA 11:55AA 2409 6h 04m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145 2h 30m Detroit DTW 16:01 → BNA 16:40DL 2316 6h 06m 98% 76%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047 2h 09m Atlanta ATL 15:13 → BNA 15:26DL 3142 4h 44m 98% 76%
AmericanDetails → MYR 13:01 → CLT 14:17AA 5883 · flown by Piedmont 59m Charlotte CLT 15:16 → BNA 15:47AA 3291 3h 46m 99% 74%
DeltaDetails → MYR 13:51 → ATL 15:14DL 3182 3h 17m Atlanta ATL 18:31 → BNA 18:52DL 1490 6h 01m 96% 71%
AmericanDetails → MYR 11:19 → PHL 13:08AA 5848 · flown by Piedmont 2h 55m Philadelphia PHL 16:03 → BNA 17:15AA 1280 6h 56m 97% 69%
DeltaDetails → MYR 19:59 → ATL 21:31DL 1093 1h 29m Atlanta ATL 23:00 → BNA 23:15DL 3121 4h 16m 88% 67%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → MYR 13:27 → PHL 15:14AA 6120 · flown by Piedmont 49m Philadelphia PHL 16:03 → BNA 17:15AA 1280 4h 48m 69% 49%
AmericanDetails → MYR 18:45 → PHL 20:34AA 5849 · flown by Piedmont 56m Philadelphia PHL 21:30 → BNA 22:46AA 2277 5h 01m 74% 47%
AmericanDetails → MYR 21:05 → CLT 22:18AA 1417 59m Charlotte CLT 23:17 → BNA 23:48AA 526 3h 43m 69% 47%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON