Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 3087 at 12:40, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 3087 Delta Flight history →	MYR 12:40	BOS 14:51	15%	4%	1.4%	92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 10:05 → BOS 12:45DL 855	6h 45m	98%	87%
American Details →	MYR 06:51 → CLT 07:58AA 3296	1h 43m Charlotte	CLT 09:41 → BOS 11:53AA 2263	5h 02m	97%	81%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047	3h 41m Atlanta	ATL 16:45 → BOS 19:30DL 518	7h 48m	100%	73%
American Details →	MYR 13:01 → CLT 14:17AA 5883 · flown by Piedmont	1h 13m Charlotte	CLT 15:30 → BOS 17:44AA 1155	4h 43m	100%	69%
Delta Details →	MYR 13:51 → ATL 15:14DL 3182	3h 23m Atlanta	ATL 18:37 → BOS 21:05DL 821	7h 14m	96%	68%
Delta Details →	MYR 19:59 → ATL 21:31DL 1093	1h 09m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → BOS 01:20 +1DL 865	5h 21m	84%	67%
American Details →	MYR 13:27 → PHL 15:14AA 6120 · flown by Piedmont	3h 43m Philadelphia	PHL 18:57 → BOS 20:41AA 2340	7h 14m	96%	66%
United Details →	MYR 10:34 → IAD 12:11UA 4324 · flown by CommuteAir	52m Dulles	IAD 13:03 → BOS 14:48UA 1392	4h 14m	80%	65%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON