Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, G4 374 at 20:01, with a 33% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


G4 374 Allegiant	MYR 20:01	CVG 21:47	33%	12%	2.0%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162	2h 41m Atlanta	ATL 10:00 → CVG 11:28DL 3160	5h 28m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047	2h 11m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008	4h 59m	98%	76%
American Details →	MYR 13:01 → CLT 14:17AA 5883 · flown by Piedmont	2h 10m Charlotte	CLT 16:27 → CVG 17:55AA 5293 · flown by PSA	4h 54m	100%	74%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145	3h 01m Detroit	DTW 16:32 → CVG 17:49DL 5060 · flown by Endeavor	6h 15m	98%	73%
Delta Details →	MYR 19:59 → ATL 21:31DL 1093	1h 40m Atlanta	ATL 23:11 → CVG 00:39 +1DL 2395	4h 40m	90%	72%
Delta Details →	MYR 13:51 → ATL 15:14DL 3182	2h 45m Atlanta	ATL 17:59 → CVG 19:25DL 3119	5h 34m	95%	70%
American Details →	MYR 11:21 → CLT 12:28AA 2431	2h 22m Charlotte	CLT 14:50 → CVG 16:17AA 633	4h 56m	83%	60%
American Details →	MYR 18:24 → CLT 19:32AA 2943	2h 58m Charlotte	CLT 22:30 → CVG 23:58AA 626	5h 34m	89%	60%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON