tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 82% chance of reaching Denver on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Myrtle Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162 2h 36m Atlanta ATL 09:55 → DEN 11:05DL 995 7h 05m 97% 82%
AmericanDetails → MYR 06:51 → CLT 07:58AA 3296 3h 58m Charlotte CLT 11:56 → DEN 13:36AA 1662 8h 45m 99% 79%
UnitedDetails → MYR 10:34 → IAD 12:11UA 4324 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 24m Dulles IAD 14:35 → DEN 16:29UA 1126 7h 55m 96% 71%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145 2h 50m Detroit DTW 16:21 → DEN 17:27DL 2431 7h 53m 98% 65%
DeltaDetails → MYR 19:59 → ATL 21:31DL 1093 1h 28m Atlanta ATL 22:59 → DEN 00:23 +1DL 956 6h 24m 88% 62%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047 3h 39m Atlanta ATL 16:43 → DEN 17:56DL 519 8h 14m 100% 62%
AmericanDetails → MYR 11:21 → CLT 12:28AA 2431 1h 04m Charlotte CLT 13:32 → DEN 15:11AA 696 5h 50m 83% 60%
AmericanDetails → MYR 18:24 → CLT 19:32AA 2943 3h 16m Charlotte CLT 22:48 → DEN 00:17 +1AA 1659 7h 53m 89% 60%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON