tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 13:51, is the safest bet: 59% chance of reaching Dallas-Fort Worth on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
OH 5653 PSA MYR 16:57 DFW 19:01 23% 9% 1.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Myrtle Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162 2h 33m Atlanta ATL 09:52 → DFW 11:12DL 961 6h 12m 97% 84%
AmericanDetails → MYR 06:51 → CLT 07:58AA 3296 3h 16m Charlotte CLT 11:14 → DFW 13:07AA 2747 7h 16m 99% 77%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145 2h 32m Detroit DTW 16:03 → DFW 17:56DL 1441 7h 22m 98% 70%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047 1h 26m Atlanta ATL 14:30 → DFW 15:45DL 921 5h 03m 95% 70%
AmericanDetails → MYR 11:19 → PHL 13:08AA 5848 · flown by Piedmont 1h 52m Philadelphia PHL 15:00 → DFW 17:50AA 402 7h 31m 96% 68%
AmericanDetails → MYR 13:01 → CLT 14:17AA 5883 · flown by Piedmont 2h 59m Charlotte CLT 17:16 → DFW 19:08AA 3209 7h 07m 100% 65%
DeltaDetails → MYR 19:59 → ATL 21:31DL 1093 1h 23m Atlanta ATL 22:54 → DFW 00:13 +1DL 818 5h 14m 87% 63%
DeltaDetails → MYR 13:51 → ATL 15:14DL 3182 2h 30m Atlanta ATL 17:44 → DFW 19:04DL 1827 6h 13m 94% 62%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON