Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 71 nonstops
Sun, Oct 11: WN 2913 at 06:02 is the safest bet, 5% chance of being 15+ min late; evening flights run 25–60%.
Every nonstop on Sun, Oct 11
12-month record →Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late (typical odds: the weather this date has had in past years), with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort. Dimmed: airlines we don’t forecast yet, shown with their 12-month record if they usually fly that weekday.
| WN 2913 Southwest | LGA 06:02 | MDW 07:21 | 5% | 2% | 1.9% | no record |
| UA 2389 United Flight history → | LGA 06:10 | ORD 07:49 | 6% | 3% | 1.3% | 89% |
| DL 2917 Delta Flight history → | LGA 06:59 | ORD 08:31 | 7% | 5% | 1.6% | 81% |
| WN 4430 Southwest | LGA 07:27 | MDW 08:46 | 7% | 3% | 2.0% | no record |
| AA 1427 American | LGA 06:00 | ORD 07:34 | 8% | 4% | 2.2% | no record |
| AA 1263 American | LGA 06:55 | ORD 08:29 | 8% | 5% | 2.0% | no record |
| UA 530 United Flight history → | EWR 06:00 | ORD 07:41 | 9% | 3% | 0.9% | 92% |
| AA 3185 American Flight history → | EWR 05:30 | ORD 07:15 | 9% | 5% | 2.8% | 88% |
| AA 3027 American Flight history → | EWR 06:59 | ORD 08:41 | 9% | 6% | 2.2% | 87% |
| DL 2985 Delta Flight history → | LGA 08:45 | ORD 10:23 | 10% | 5% | 1.7% | 80% |
| AA 392 American Flight history → | LGA 07:47 | ORD 09:29 | 10% | 5% | 2.2% | 87% |
| UA 1008 United | LGA 07:20 | ORD 08:53 | 12% | 4% | 1.3% | no record |
| AA 3221 American | JFK 06:55 | ORD 08:30 | 13% | 5% | 1.8% | no record |
| UA 2488 United Flight history → | EWR 07:59 | ORD 09:43 | 14% | 5% | 1.0% | 88% |
| AA 2223 American Flight history → | LGA 09:28 | ORD 11:06 | 15% | 6% | 2.5% | 88% |
| UA 1166 United | LGA 08:12 | ORD 09:39 | 15% | 5% | 1.4% | no record |
| B6 905 JetBlue Flight history → | JFK 07:05 | ORD 08:50 | 16% | 5% | 1.3% | 90% |
| WN 2542 Southwest | LGA 10:07 | MDW 11:26 | 16% | 5% | 2.9% | no record |
| UA 477 United | LGA 09:07 | ORD 10:39 | 16% | 6% | 1.6% | no record |
| UA 2754 United | EWR 07:13 | ORD 08:42 | 16% | 5% | 1.0% | no record |
| UA 2290 United Flight history → | EWR 09:20 | ORD 11:04 | 18% | 7% | 1.0% | 83% |
| UA 1310 United Flight history → | LGA 10:15 | ORD 11:57 | 18% | 8% | 1.8% | 80% |
| UA 1525 United Flight history → | EWR 10:24 | ORD 12:06 | 20% | 8% | 1.1% | 79% |
| AA 855 American | LGA 10:31 | ORD 12:04 | 20% | 9% | 2.6% | no record |
| DL 2240 Delta Flight history → | LGA 11:30 | ORD 13:05 | 20% | 8% | 2.6% | 74% |
| AA 788 American | JFK 10:30 | ORD 12:03 | 23% | 8% | 2.5% | no record |
| UA 2015 United | LGA 11:30 | ORD 13:02 | 23% | 9% | 1.8% | no record |
| AA 752 American | EWR 10:42 | ORD 12:14 | 24% | 10% | 2.7% | no record |
| WN 3457 Southwest Flight history → | LGA 13:21 | MDW 14:40 | 24% | 9% | 7.0% | 91%worse than usual |
| AA 2057 American Flight history → | LGA 21:29 | ORD 23:30 | 25% | 14% | 2.3% | 55% |
| AA 386 American | LGA 12:42 | ORD 14:14 | 25% | 13% | 4.2% | no record |
| UA 1439 United | EWR 11:03 | ORD 12:33 | 25% | 9% | 1.2% | no record |
| UA 1967 United Flight history → | LGA 13:28 | ORD 15:12 | 28% | 15% | 2.3% | 74% |
| AA 2909 American | JFK 23:16 | ORD 01:00 | 30% | 12% | 2.1% | no record |
| AA 2841 American | LGA 21:27 | ORD 23:01 | 31% | 17% | 2.9% | no record |
| UA 775 United | LGA 21:45 | ORD 23:17 | 31% | 17% | 2.0% | no record |
| WN 942 Southwest | LGA 15:16 | MDW 16:35 | 32% | 11% | 7.5% | no record |
| DL 2806 Delta Flight history → | LGA 20:45 | ORD 22:36 | 32% | 18% | 2.1% | 59% |
| UA 1504 United Flight history → | LGA 15:25 | ORD 17:20 | 33% | 21% | 3.4% | 61% |
| UA 2053 United Flight history → | EWR 13:00 | ORD 14:43 | 35% | 17% | 1.8% | 77%worse than usual |
| WN 2547 Southwest | LGA 22:04 | MDW 23:19 | 36% | 17% | 3.5% | no record |
| DL 1390 Delta Flight history → | LGA 16:00 | ORD 18:03 | 36% | 20% | 2.5% | 66% |
| DL 2226 Delta Flight history → | LGA 14:45 | ORD 16:30 | 36% | 19% | 2.8% | 64% |
| DL 2503 Delta Flight history → | LGA 17:00 | ORD 19:10 | 36% | 21% | 2.4% | 62% |
| DL 2513 Delta Flight history → | LGA 18:50 | ORD 20:56 | 37% | 22% | 2.6% | 57% |
| WN 2546 Southwest | LGA 21:30 | MDW 22:51 | 37% | 15% | 3.3% | no record |
| AA 1534 American | LGA 14:16 | ORD 15:49 | 38% | 20% | 3.6% | no record |
| WN 4845 Southwest | LGA 17:45 | MDW 19:04 | 38% | 17% | 6.0% | no record |
| YX 5599 Republic | JFK 19:43 | ORD 21:21 | 39% | 18% | 4.4% | no record |
| UA 2768 United Flight history → | LGA 20:25 | ORD 22:12 | 39% | 21% | 2.1% | 47% |
| AA 396 American Flight history → | LGA 16:00 | ORD 18:08 | 39% | 19% | 3.7% | 64% |
| UA 1442 United | LGA 14:31 | ORD 16:12 | 41% | 20% | 3.0% | no record |
| AA 4489 American flown by Republic Flight history → | JFK 19:00 | ORD 20:38 | 42% | 18% | 4.4% | 82%worse than usual |
| UA 1156 United Flight history → | LGA 16:25 | ORD 18:17 | 42% | 21% | 2.6% | 53% |
| AA 1795 American Flight history → | LGA 18:18 | ORD 20:04 | 44% | 26% | 4.4% | 38% |
| AA 2416 American | EWR 14:15 | ORD 15:47 | 45% | 25% | 4.5% | no record |
| UA 1582 United Flight history → | LGA 19:31 | ORD 21:03 | 46% | 24% | 2.3% | 60% |
| UA 2788 United Flight history → | EWR 14:45 | ORD 16:28 | 47% | 23% | 2.4% | 50% |
| UA 1206 United Flight history → | EWR 22:05 | ORD 23:33 | 48% | 20% | 1.5% | 71%worse than usual |
| UA 2336 United | LGA 17:28 | ORD 19:02 | 49% | 24% | 2.4% | no record |
| UA 598 United Flight history → | LGA 18:36 | ORD 20:10 | 50% | 28% | 2.8% | 41% |
| B6 405 JetBlue Flight history → | JFK 20:27 | ORD 22:11 | 50% | 25% | 2.8% | 65%worse than usual |
| UA 3772 United | EWR 21:16 | ORD 22:49 | 53% | 24% | 1.8% | no record |
| AA 1691 American Flight history → | EWR 17:38 | ORD 19:34 | 53% | 34% | 3.8% | 54% |
| UA 661 United Flight history → | EWR 16:45 | ORD 18:34 | 56% | 26% | 1.7% | 50% |
| UA 546 United Flight history → | EWR 20:19 | ORD 22:06 | 56% | 26% | 1.6% | 69%worse than usual |
| UA 254 United Flight history → | EWR 18:15 | ORD 20:10 | 60% | 29% | 2.0% | 44% |
| UA 1871 United | EWR 20:37 | ORD 22:06 | 60% | 30% | 1.5% | no record |
| DL 5119 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record | JFK 10:30 | ORD 12:20 | 14% | 3% | 7.0% | 86% |
| DL 4725 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record | JFK 07:30 | ORD 09:25 | 26% | 14% | 12.5% | 74% |
| DL 4783 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record | JFK 15:00 | ORD 17:11 | 26% | 14% | 23.6% | 74% |
About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON