Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: WN 1260 at 06:35 is the safest bet, 3% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 26%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


WN 1260 Southwest	OMA 06:35	DAL 08:32	3%	1%	0.7%	no record
WN 1470 Southwest	OMA 20:21	DAL 22:16	26%	11%	0.9%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	OMA 05:25 → ATL 08:41DL 1136	1h 34m Atlanta	ATL 10:15 → DAL 11:24DL 1115	5h 59m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	OMA 07:01 → ATL 10:12DL 1157	3h 47m Atlanta	ATL 13:59 → DAL 15:03DL 512	8h 02m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	OMA 10:14 → ATL 13:29DL 2632	3h 15m Atlanta	ATL 16:44 → DAL 17:54DL 2780	7h 40m	98%	72%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON