tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–14% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 6227 American flown by SkyWest Flight history → OMA 06:00 LAX 07:41 6% 4% 0.6% 92%
AA 6506 American flown by SkyWest Flight history → OMA 15:14 LAX 16:43 14% 5% 0.6% 85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Los Angeles on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Omaha). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → OMA 06:00 → DEN 06:49UA 1442 1h 11m Denver DEN 08:00 → LAX 09:32UA 1638 5h 32m 97% 83%
DeltaDetails → OMA 08:05 → MSP 09:30DL 3512 · flown by SkyWest 2h 00m Minneapolis MSP 11:30 → LAX 13:23DL 2119 7h 18m 96% 82%
DeltaDetails → OMA 06:00 → MSP 07:21DL 3864 · flown by SkyWest 1h 59m Minneapolis MSP 09:20 → LAX 11:10DL 2102 7h 10m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → OMA 05:25 → ATL 08:41DL 1136 3h 59m Atlanta ATL 12:40 → LAX 14:12DL 895 10h 47m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → OMA 06:25 → DTW 09:28DL 4110 · flown by SkyWest 3h 22m Detroit DTW 12:50 → LAX 14:35DL 634 10h 10m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → OMA 08:10 → SLC 09:52DL 3874 · flown by SkyWest 1h 38m Salt Lake City SLC 11:30 → LAX 12:27DL 829 6h 17m 98% 78%
DeltaDetails → OMA 10:14 → ATL 13:29DL 2632 1h 16m Atlanta ATL 14:45 → LAX 16:17DL 753 8h 03m 95% 76%
UnitedDetails → OMA 06:15 → IAH 08:37UA 2399 3h 56m Houston IAH 12:33 → LAX 14:06UA 2460 9h 51m 99% 76%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → OMA 15:13 → ORD 17:05UA 739 1h 05m Chicago ORD 18:10 → LAX 20:40UA 1967 7h 27m 67% 30%
AmericanDetails → OMA 19:53 → DFW 21:52AA 2270 51m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 22:43 → LAX 00:04 +1AA 2038 6h 11m 51% 28%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON