Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, WN 2608 at 07:00, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 2608 Southwest	ORF 07:00	MCO 09:08	7%	3%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ORF 05:15 → ATL 06:54DL 2966	1h 31m Atlanta	ATL 08:25 → MCO 09:56DL 1213	4h 41m	96%	85%
Delta Details →	ORF 06:05 → DTW 07:55DL 1079	2h 40m Detroit	DTW 10:35 → MCO 13:08DL 1747	7h 03m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	ORF 06:20 → ATL 08:11DL 1364	1h 14m Atlanta	ATL 09:25 → MCO 10:57DL 1658	4h 37m	94%	82%
American Details →	ORF 06:00 → DCA 07:06AA 5520 · flown by PSA	3h 54m Washington	DCA 11:00 → MCO 13:35AA 1153	7h 35m	98%	79%
Delta Details →	ORF 08:00 → ATL 09:49DL 1338	1h 36m Atlanta	ATL 11:25 → MCO 13:00DL 1030	5h 00m	93%	76%
Delta Details →	ORF 07:00 → JFK 08:20DL 5356 · flown by Endeavor	3h 07m New York	JFK 11:27 → MCO 14:17DL 2775	7h 17m	97%	76%
American Details →	ORF 06:23 → PHL 07:40AA 5088 · flown by PSA	3h 28m Philadelphia	PHL 11:08 → MCO 13:41AA 3268	7h 18m	98%	75%
American Details →	ORF 06:46 → CLT 08:20AA 5036 · flown by PSA	2h 39m Charlotte	CLT 10:59 → MCO 12:39AA 1576	5h 53m	93%	75%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	ORF 20:04 → CLT 21:28AA 2519	1h 01m Charlotte	CLT 22:29 → MCO 00:17 +1AA 1879	4h 13m	63%	43%
American Details →	ORF 13:50 → CLT 15:15AA 2200	53m Charlotte	CLT 16:08 → MCO 17:57AA 669	4h 07m	61%	38%
American Details →	ORF 17:52 → DCA 19:19AA 5601 · flown by PSA	48m Washington	DCA 20:07 → MCO 22:31AA 2139	4h 39m	63%	36%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON