Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–23% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AS 1323 Alaska	PDX 10:34	PSP 12:57	16%	4%	1.3%	no record
AS 3022 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history →	PDX 17:36	PSP 20:14	23%	8%	1.9%	68%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	PDX 05:45 → SLC 08:33DL 1270	2h 12m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:45 → PSP 11:41DL 4042 · flown by SkyWest	5h 56m	99%	89%
United Details →	PDX 05:15 → SFO 07:01UA 1896	1h 25m San Francisco	SFO 08:26 → PSP 10:03UA 717	4h 48m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	PDX 09:45 → SLC 12:33DL 1203	3h 07m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:40 → PSP 16:33DL 3852 · flown by SkyWest	6h 48m	99%	81%
Alaska Details →	PDX 05:00 → SEA 05:53AS 2431 · flown by Horizon	1h 47m Seattle	SEA 07:40 → PSP 10:20AS 610	5h 20m	96%	78%
United Details →	PDX 05:00 → DEN 08:31UA 459	2h 41m Denver	DEN 11:12 → PSP 12:29UA 687	7h 29m	98%	75%
Alaska Details →	PDX 06:19 → SEA 07:17AS 499	3h 09m Seattle	SEA 10:26 → PSP 13:08AS 457	6h 49m	100%	73%
United Details →	PDX 12:59 → SFO 14:53UA 751	3h 45m San Francisco	SFO 18:38 → PSP 20:26UA 5705 · flown by SkyWest	7h 27m	98%	72%
American Details →	PDX 05:20 → PHX 08:00AA 2658	2h 38m Phoenix	PHX 10:38 → PSP 11:55AA 1884	6h 35m	97%	70%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON