Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 6093 American flown by Piedmont no forecast: 12-month record	PHL 21:50	AVL 23:58	24%	16%	13.8%	76%
AA 6034 American flown by Piedmont no forecast: 12-month record	PHL 16:28	AVL 18:36	25%	4%	6.9%	75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Asheville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	PHL 06:00 → BOS 07:30DL 5740 · flown by Republic	2h 05m Boston	BOS 09:35 → AVL 12:11DL 5778 · flown by Republic	6h 11m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	PHL 05:15 → ATL 07:19DL 1269	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 09:59 → AVL 11:07DL 3059	5h 52m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	PHL 06:25 → ATL 08:28DL 1152	3h 49m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → AVL 13:25DL 1182	7h 00m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	PHL 08:05 → ATL 10:11DL 1180	3h 34m Atlanta	ATL 13:45 → AVL 14:40DL 3099	6h 35m	98%	78%
Delta Details →	PHL 12:02 → ATL 14:05DL 2270	2h 06m Atlanta	ATL 16:11 → AVL 17:19DL 3101	5h 17m	97%	72%
American Details →	PHL 10:34 → CLT 12:22AA 847	51m Charlotte	CLT 13:13 → AVL 14:19AA 6112 · flown by Piedmont	3h 45m	83%	72%
Delta Details →	PHL 17:17 → ATL 19:29DL 1692	3h 17m Atlanta	ATL 22:46 → AVL 23:46DL 3116	6h 29m	93%	68%
Delta Details →	PHL 14:32 → ATL 16:40DL 2279	2h 57m Atlanta	ATL 19:37 → AVL 20:41DL 3071	6h 09m	98%	67%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	PHL 11:38 → ORD 13:06UA 2207	49m Chicago	ORD 13:55 → AVL 16:58UA 4434 · flown by GoJet	5h 20m	63%	41%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON