tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AA 6012 American flown by Piedmont no forecast: 12-month record PHL 22:10 GSO 23:58 12% 1% 6.9% 88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Greensboro on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PHL 05:15 → ATL 07:19DL 1269 2h 59m Atlanta ATL 10:18 → GSO 11:37DL 3052 6h 22m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → PHL 08:05 → ATL 10:11DL 1180 2h 38m Atlanta ATL 12:49 → GSO 14:04DL 3060 5h 59m 96% 82%
AmericanDetails → PHL 16:13 → CLT 17:51AA 3012 3h 25m Charlotte CLT 21:16 → GSO 22:17AA 4147 · flown by Envoy 6h 04m 98% 78%
DeltaDetails → PHL 06:10 → DTW 07:48DL 1540 1h 06m Detroit DTW 08:54 → GSO 10:41DL 4966 · flown by Endeavor 4h 31m 95% 77%
AmericanDetails → PHL 10:34 → CLT 12:22AA 847 2h 19m Charlotte CLT 14:41 → GSO 15:46AA 5797 · flown by Piedmont 5h 12m 95% 77%
DeltaDetails → PHL 16:08 → ATL 18:32DL 2131 2h 48m Atlanta ATL 21:20 → GSO 22:43DL 1617 6h 35m 97% 75%
DeltaDetails → PHL 12:02 → ATL 14:05DL 2270 2h 25m Atlanta ATL 16:30 → GSO 17:50DL 3050 5h 48m 98% 75%
DeltaDetails → PHL 14:32 → ATL 16:40DL 2279 1h 53m Atlanta ATL 18:33 → GSO 19:52DL 3017 5h 20m 94% 74%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → PHL 16:25 → MIA 19:27AA 3306 1h 13m Miami MIA 20:40 → GSO 22:57AA 3754 · flown by Envoy 6h 32m 69% 53%
UnitedDetails → PHL 11:38 → ORD 13:06UA 2207 49m Chicago ORD 13:55 → GSO 16:57UA 4619 · flown by GoJet 5h 19m 63% 42%
AmericanDetails → PHL 15:45 → ORD 17:29AA 470 1h 19m Chicago ORD 18:48 → GSO 21:55AA 3648 · flown by Envoy 6h 10m 68% 41%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON