tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–14% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3509 Southwest PIT 07:00 FLL 09:41 7% 2% 0.8% no record
B6 2005 JetBlue Flight history → PIT 06:00 FLL 08:42 14% 4% 1.0% 84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PIT 06:05 → LGA 07:33DL 5753 · flown by Republic 3h 22m New York LGA 10:55 → FLL 13:54DL 1181 7h 49m 99% 79%
AmericanDetails → PIT 04:55 → CLT 06:29AA 376 51m Charlotte CLT 07:20 → FLL 09:24AA 1419 4h 29m 90% 78%
DeltaDetails → PIT 05:45 → ATL 07:25DL 1504 4h 00m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063 7h 35m 99% 78%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:06 → IAD 07:18UA 3679 · flown by Republic 1h 02m Dulles IAD 08:20 → FLL 11:07UA 1825 5h 01m 97% 77%
DeltaDetails → PIT 07:05 → ATL 08:50DL 1383 3h 53m Atlanta ATL 12:43 → FLL 14:39DL 1341 7h 34m 99% 76%
AmericanDetails → PIT 06:38 → CLT 08:10AA 384 2h 49m Charlotte CLT 10:59 → FLL 13:01AA 2585 6h 23m 98% 75%
UnitedDetails → PIT 07:24 → EWR 08:54UA 3513 · flown by Republic 2h 57m Newark EWR 11:51 → FLL 14:43UA 2759 7h 19m 100% 74%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:15 → IAH 08:18UA 1859 1h 51m Houston IAH 10:09 → FLL 13:46UA 2670 7h 31m 97% 72%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → PIT 17:04 → JFK 18:56DL 5085 · flown by Endeavor 1h 02m New York JFK 19:58 → FLL 23:28DL 1414 6h 24m 53% 34%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON