tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 10–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 1859 United Flight history → PIT 06:15 IAH 08:18 10% 3% 0.8% 94%
UA 1563 United Flight history → PIT 17:09 IAH 19:25 16% 6% 0.7% 79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Pittsburgh). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:06 → IAD 07:18UA 3679 · flown by Republic 1h 22m Dulles IAD 08:40 → IAH 10:58UA 1524 5h 52m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → PIT 07:24 → EWR 08:54UA 3513 · flown by Republic 3h 42m Newark EWR 12:36 → IAH 15:34UA 2204 9h 10m 100% 84%
UnitedDetails → PIT 10:30 → IAD 11:42UA 6184 · flown by Mesa 3h 24m Dulles IAD 15:06 → IAH 17:34UA 2607 8h 04m 100% 83%
DeltaDetails → PIT 07:05 → ATL 08:50DL 1383 3h 37m Atlanta ATL 12:27 → IAH 13:33DL 1572 7h 28m 99% 79%
DeltaDetails → PIT 06:05 → LGA 07:33DL 5753 · flown by Republic 3h 17m New York LGA 10:50 → IAH 13:32DL 2099 8h 27m 99% 79%
DeltaDetails → PIT 05:45 → ATL 07:25DL 1504 2h 40m Atlanta ATL 10:05 → IAH 11:14DL 1682 6h 29m 99% 78%
UnitedDetails → PIT 08:30 → DEN 10:01UA 1765 1h 33m Denver DEN 11:34 → IAH 15:09UA 1599 7h 39m 98% 78%
AmericanDetails → PIT 08:35 → PHL 10:05AA 3248 2h 57m Philadelphia PHL 13:02 → IAH 15:39AA 2486 8h 04m 99% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → PIT 19:49 → ORD 20:28UA 6023 · flown by SkyWest 1h 12m Chicago ORD 21:40 → IAH 00:34 +1UA 2665 5h 45m 62% 33%
UnitedDetails → PIT 18:02 → ORD 18:46UA 602 1h 16m Chicago ORD 20:02 → IAH 22:59UA 2813 5h 57m 61% 30%
UnitedDetails → PIT 16:10 → ORD 16:57UA 3577 · flown by Republic 51m Chicago ORD 17:48 → IAH 20:36UA 1921 5h 26m 43% 19%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON