Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 22–27% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


UA 1092 United	PNS 14:13	DEN 16:18	22%	10%	0.8%	no record
F9 2443 Frontier Flight history →	PNS 15:15	DEN 17:22	27%	12%	1.4%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Pensacola). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	PNS 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 3019	1h 40m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → DEN 11:05DL 995	6h 05m	96%	81%
Delta Details →	PNS 07:00 → ATL 09:17DL 3129	3h 38m Atlanta	ATL 12:55 → DEN 14:00DL 957	8h 00m	99%	79%
American Details →	PNS 05:22 → CLT 08:18AA 5548 · flown by PSA	3h 38m Charlotte	CLT 11:56 → DEN 13:36AA 1662	9h 14m	98%	78%
United Details →	PNS 16:48 → IAH 18:43UA 4303 · flown by CommuteAir	3h 26m Houston	IAH 22:09 → DEN 23:34UA 685	7h 46m	97%	76%
United Details →	PNS 07:00 → IAH 08:42UA 1823	3h 51m Houston	IAH 12:33 → DEN 14:17UA 2168	8h 17m	98%	76%
Delta Details →	PNS 08:01 → ATL 10:15DL 3067	3h 40m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → DEN 14:58DL 530	7h 57m	99%	73%
American Details →	PNS 06:00 → MIA 08:49AA 3386 · flown by Envoy	1h 03m Miami	MIA 09:52 → DEN 12:02AA 2436	7h 02m	91%	70%
Delta Details →	PNS 18:08 → ATL 20:35DL 2211	2h 24m Atlanta	ATL 22:59 → DEN 00:23 +1DL 956	7h 15m	97%	68%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	PNS 16:18 → ATL 18:35DL 1013	50m Atlanta	ATL 19:25 → DEN 20:43DL 746	5h 25m	74%	49%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON