Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, AS 3304 at 07:02, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


AS 3304 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history →	PSC 07:02	LAX 09:42	15%	9%	0.7%	92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Los Angeles on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	PSC 04:59 → DEN 08:19UA 480	1h 43m Denver	DEN 10:02 → LAX 11:34UA 405	6h 35m	94%	78%
Delta Details →	PSC 05:25 → SEA 06:36DL 3972 · flown by SkyWest	3h 29m Seattle	SEA 10:05 → LAX 12:55DL 2769	7h 30m	96%	78%
Delta Details →	PSC 07:05 → MSP 12:01DL 2622	1h 09m Minneapolis	MSP 13:10 → LAX 15:04DL 2974	7h 59m	92%	77%
Delta Details →	PSC 06:00 → SLC 08:34DL 1645	2h 56m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → LAX 12:27DL 829	6h 27m	96%	76%
American Details →	PSC 05:02 → PHX 07:42AA 5007 · flown by SkyWest	3h 02m Phoenix	PHX 10:44 → LAX 12:14AA 2027	7h 12m	99%	76%
Delta Details →	PSC 15:36 → SEA 16:48DL 3891 · flown by SkyWest	3h 37m Seattle	SEA 20:25 → LAX 23:15DL 2854	7h 39m	100%	71%
Alaska Details →	PSC 10:28 → SEA 11:44AS 3020 · flown by SkyWest	1h 54m Seattle	SEA 13:38 → LAX 16:25AS 696	5h 57m	100%	70%
Alaska Details →	PSC 06:15 → SEA 07:20AS 2165 · flown by Horizon	2h 50m Seattle	SEA 10:10 → LAX 12:51AS 496	6h 36m	100%	70%
Tight connection: often missed
Alaska Details →	PSC 15:59 → PDX 16:50AS 2471 · flown by Horizon	47m Portland	PDX 17:37 → LAX 20:09AS 278	4h 10m	44%	33%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON