Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 2622 at 07:05, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2622 Delta Flight history →	PSC 07:05	MSP 12:01	9%	4%	0.6%	91%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Pasco). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	PSC 04:59 → DEN 08:19UA 480	1h 21m Denver	DEN 09:40 → MSP 12:40UA 397	5h 41m	94%	82%
Delta Details →	PSC 06:00 → SLC 08:34DL 1645	2h 36m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924	6h 40m	96%	82%
Alaska Details →	PSC 06:15 → SEA 07:20AS 2165 · flown by Horizon	1h 15m Seattle	SEA 08:35 → MSP 13:57AS 555	5h 42m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	PSC 17:21 → SLC 20:06DL 3728 · flown by SkyWest	3h 11m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:17 → MSP 02:49 +1DL 8847	7h 28m	100%	79%
American Details →	PSC 05:02 → PHX 07:42AA 5007 · flown by SkyWest	1h 08m Phoenix	PHX 08:50 → MSP 13:59AA 408	6h 57m	92%	75%
Alaska Details →	PSC 10:28 → SEA 11:44AS 3020 · flown by SkyWest	1h 44m Seattle	SEA 13:28 → MSP 18:36AS 509	6h 08m	100%	74%
Delta Details →	PSC 15:36 → SEA 16:48DL 3891 · flown by SkyWest	1h 17m Seattle	SEA 18:05 → MSP 23:30DL 949	5h 54m	89%	71%
Delta Details →	PSC 12:10 → SLC 14:57DL 3892 · flown by SkyWest	2h 24m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:21 → MSP 20:54DL 2935	6h 44m	96%	66%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON