Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: AA 2425 at 06:01 is the safest bet, 8% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 27%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 2425 American Flight history →	PSP 06:01	DFW 11:02	8%	5%	1.3%	93%
AA 2548 American Flight history →	PSP 12:42	DFW 17:39	27%	10%	1.0%	65%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Palm Springs). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	PSP 05:05 → DEN 08:22UA 1010	1h 10m Denver	DEN 09:32 → DFW 12:31UA 1350	5h 26m	96%	79%
Delta Details →	PSP 06:06 → SLC 08:54DL 4030 · flown by SkyWest	56m Salt Lake City	SLC 09:50 → DFW 13:30DL 2800	5h 24m	91%	75%
Alaska Details →	PSP 07:16 → PDX 09:48AS 3370 · flown by SkyWest	57m Portland	PDX 10:45 → DFW 16:42AS 392	7h 26m	90%	74%
United Details →	PSP 09:01 → DEN 12:19UA 5617 · flown by SkyWest	1h 26m Denver	DEN 13:45 → DFW 16:51UA 578	5h 50m	92%	66%
United Details →	PSP 06:45 → SFO 08:28UA 6052 · flown by SkyWest	1h 57m San Francisco	SFO 10:25 → DFW 16:08UA 2842	7h 23m	95%	65%
Alaska Details →	PSP 07:44 → SEA 10:40AS 3284 · flown by SkyWest	1h 33m Seattle	SEA 12:13 → DFW 18:21AS 549	8h 37m	92%	62%
Delta Details →	PSP 12:23 → SLC 15:11DL 4042 · flown by SkyWest	2h 29m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:40 → DFW 21:23DL 2796	7h 00m	92%	56%
American Details →	PSP 12:51 → PHX 14:10AA 1884	2h 15m Phoenix	PHX 16:25 → DFW 21:09AA 853	6h 18m	90%	55%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	PSP 16:57 → PHX 18:35AA 6406 · flown by SkyWest	55m Phoenix	PHX 19:30 → DFW 23:58AA 521	5h 01m	72%	43%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON