tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 19–25% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 5542 United flown by SkyWest Flight history → PSP 07:26 LAX 08:30 19% 9% 0.6% 87%
OO 5445 SkyWest PSP 17:57 LAX 18:54 25% 10% 0.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Los Angeles on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → PSP 05:05 → DEN 08:22UA 1010 1h 40m Denver DEN 10:02 → LAX 11:34UA 405 6h 29m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → PSP 06:06 → SLC 08:54DL 4030 · flown by SkyWest 2h 36m Salt Lake City SLC 11:30 → LAX 12:27DL 829 6h 21m 97% 77%
AlaskaDetails → PSP 07:16 → PDX 09:48AS 3370 · flown by SkyWest 1h 00m Portland PDX 10:48 → LAX 13:23AS 695 6h 07m 91% 76%
UnitedDetails → PSP 13:34 → SFO 15:29UA 1430 3h 27m San Francisco SFO 18:56 → LAX 20:35UA 1799 7h 01m 97% 70%
UnitedDetails → PSP 09:01 → DEN 12:19UA 5617 · flown by SkyWest 3h 24m Denver DEN 15:43 → LAX 17:15UA 1195 8h 14m 100% 69%
AlaskaDetails → PSP 07:44 → SEA 10:40AS 3284 · flown by SkyWest 2h 58m Seattle SEA 13:38 → LAX 16:25AS 696 8h 41m 98% 69%
UnitedDetails → PSP 06:45 → SFO 08:28UA 6052 · flown by SkyWest 3h 47m San Francisco SFO 12:15 → LAX 13:55UA 1506 7h 10m 98% 67%
UnitedDetails → PSP 18:27 → SFO 20:10UA 5631 · flown by SkyWest 2h 27m San Francisco SFO 22:37 → LAX 00:19 +1UA 2179 5h 52m 97% 67%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → PSP 13:34 → SFO 15:29UA 1430 56m San Francisco SFO 16:25 → LAX 18:05UA 1754 4h 31m 71% 47%
AmericanDetails → PSP 12:42 → DFW 17:39AA 2548 58m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:37 → LAX 19:55AA 2043 7h 13m 72% 39%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON