tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: UA 1188 at 05:00 is the safest bet, 8% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 30%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 1188 United Flight history → RDM 05:00 DEN 08:28 8% 5% 1.0% 88%
UA 2350 United Flight history → RDM 13:14 DEN 16:42 30% 10% 1.0% 85%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Redmond). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → RDM 05:05 → SLC 07:48DL 4004 · flown by SkyWest 2h 27m Salt Lake City SLC 10:15 → DEN 11:47DL 1553 5h 42m 97% 81%
UnitedDetails → RDM 06:00 → SFO 07:37UA 702 1h 24m San Francisco SFO 09:01 → DEN 12:35UA 1469 5h 35m 97% 80%
UnitedDetails → RDM 13:49 → SFO 15:32UA 2262 3h 24m San Francisco SFO 18:56 → DEN 22:44UA 2436 7h 55m 99% 76%
AlaskaDetails → RDM 16:00 → PDX 16:50AS 2167 · flown by Horizon 1h 13m Portland PDX 18:03 → DEN 21:35AS 1317 4h 35m 96% 71%
AmericanDetails → RDM 14:37 → PHX 17:14AA 3929 · flown by Envoy 2h 02m Phoenix PHX 19:16 → DEN 22:19AA 1638 6h 42m 97% 64%
AlaskaDetails → RDM 07:15 → SEA 08:28AS 2027 · flown by Horizon 3h 16m Seattle SEA 11:44 → DEN 15:38AS 535 7h 23m 98% 62%
DeltaDetails → RDM 12:15 → SLC 15:04DL 3727 · flown by SkyWest 3h 26m Salt Lake City SLC 18:30 → DEN 20:01DL 1586 6h 46m 99% 52%
AlaskaDetails → RDM 09:44 → SEA 10:57AS 2076 · flown by Horizon 2h 19m Seattle SEA 13:16 → DEN 16:52AS 602 6h 08m 98% 51%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → RDM 13:49 → SFO 15:32UA 2262 51m San Francisco SFO 16:23 → DEN 19:55UA 1835 5h 06m 71% 39%
AlaskaDetails → RDM 09:44 → SEA 10:57AS 2076 · flown by Horizon 47m Seattle SEA 11:44 → DEN 15:38AS 535 4h 54m 42% 27%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON