Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 4911 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	RDU 14:55	CVG 16:41	20%	8%	0.6%	80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	RDU 07:00 → BOS 09:02DL 1054	2h 34m Boston	BOS 11:36 → CVG 14:12DL 5598 · flown by Republic	7h 12m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	RDU 09:23 → BOS 11:25DL 1022	2h 47m Boston	BOS 14:12 → CVG 16:45DL 5789 · flown by Republic	7h 22m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	RDU 05:10 → ATL 06:28DL 1552	1h 07m Atlanta	ATL 07:35 → CVG 08:56DL 963	3h 46m	96%	88%
Delta Details →	RDU 06:20 → ATL 07:46DL 1192	2h 14m Atlanta	ATL 10:00 → CVG 11:28DL 3160	5h 08m	98%	87%
American Details →	RDU 05:02 → CLT 06:05AA 683	2h 14m Charlotte	CLT 08:19 → CVG 09:45AA 430	4h 43m	97%	83%
Delta Details →	RDU 07:30 → ATL 09:00DL 2478	1h 59m Atlanta	ATL 10:59 → CVG 12:22DL 3149	4h 52m	97%	82%
United Details →	RDU 06:00 → IAD 07:11UA 1789	1h 49m Dulles	IAD 09:00 → CVG 10:45UA 4487 · flown by GoJet	4h 45m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	RDU 09:58 → ATL 11:22DL 2634	2h 26m Atlanta	ATL 13:48 → CVG 15:11DL 3169	5h 13m	100%	81%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	RDU 11:29 → LGA 13:12DL 4667 · flown by Endeavor	47m New York	LGA 13:59 → CVG 16:11DL 4949 · flown by Endeavor	4h 42m	49%	30%
American Details →	RDU 18:22 → ORD 19:48AA 2949	1h 39m Chicago	ORD 21:27 → CVG 23:46AA 1007	5h 24m	72%	29%
Delta Details →	RDU 17:05 → LGA 18:52DL 5180 · flown by Endeavor	1h 18m New York	LGA 20:10 → CVG 22:35DL 5517 · flown by Endeavor	5h 30m	53%	23%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON