Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


B6 1552 JetBlue Flight history →	RSW 10:33	HPN 13:30	11%	6%	2.0%	90%
B6 1252 JetBlue Flight history →	RSW 17:01	HPN 20:11	16%	8%	2.4%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	RSW 06:45 → ATL 08:33DL 1361	3h 37m Atlanta	ATL 12:10 → HPN 14:36DL 5435 · flown by Endeavor	7h 51m	99%	79%
Delta Details →	RSW 05:35 → ATL 07:19DL 1385	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 10:05 → HPN 12:21DL 2973	6h 46m	97%	79%
Delta Details →	RSW 10:48 → ATL 12:27DL 1089	3h 23m Atlanta	ATL 15:50 → HPN 18:16DL 5013 · flown by Endeavor	7h 28m	99%	74%
American Details →	RSW 07:57 → CLT 09:58AA 2241	1h 08m Charlotte	CLT 11:06 → HPN 13:13AA 5180 · flown by PSA	5h 16m	93%	71%
Delta Details →	RSW 15:41 → ATL 17:34DL 1196	2h 25m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → HPN 22:25DL 1616	6h 44m	95%	70%
American Details →	RSW 13:44 → CLT 15:44AA 2018	2h 36m Charlotte	CLT 18:20 → HPN 20:29AA 5016 · flown by PSA	6h 45m	96%	67%
American Details →	RSW 11:45 → DCA 14:23AA 2916	2h 37m Washington	DCA 17:00 → HPN 18:28AA 5236 · flown by PSA	6h 43m	96%	62%
Tight connection: often missed
JetBlue Details →	RSW 16:41 → JFK 19:36B6 1530	58m New York	JFK 20:34 → HPN 21:24B6 368	4h 43m	64%	37%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON