Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 379 at 14:23, with a 26% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 379 Delta Flight history →	RSW 14:23	LGA 17:12	26%	9%	2.6%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	RSW 05:35 → ATL 07:19DL 1385	1h 11m Atlanta	ATL 08:30 → LGA 10:41DL 513	5h 06m	96%	84%
Delta Details →	RSW 06:45 → ATL 08:33DL 1361	1h 57m Atlanta	ATL 10:30 → LGA 12:42DL 371	5h 57m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	RSW 08:03 → ATL 09:50DL 1395	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 12:30 → LGA 14:50DL 525	6h 47m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	RSW 10:48 → ATL 12:27DL 1089	2h 03m Atlanta	ATL 14:30 → LGA 16:50DL 524	6h 02m	96%	74%
Delta Details →	RSW 15:41 → ATL 17:34DL 1196	3h 26m Atlanta	ATL 21:00 → LGA 23:24DL 520	7h 43m	98%	72%
Delta Details →	RSW 14:32 → MSP 17:04DL 2400	2h 54m Minneapolis	MSP 19:58 → LGA 23:40DL 2733	9h 08m	93%	72%
Delta Details →	RSW 13:16 → ATL 15:05DL 1153	2h 55m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → LGA 20:27DL 434	7h 11m	99%	69%
American Details →	RSW 06:01 → DFW 08:05AA 1281	1h 20m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:25 → LGA 13:54AA 2178	7h 53m	96%	68%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	RSW 18:57 → CLT 20:57AA 1930	52m Charlotte	CLT 21:49 → LGA 23:39AA 2031	4h 42m	67%	44%
American Details →	RSW 11:50 → ORD 14:06AA 2437	1h 05m Chicago	ORD 15:11 → LGA 18:25AA 866	6h 35m	69%	32%
United Details →	RSW 14:12 → ORD 16:22UA 2472	58m Chicago	ORD 17:20 → LGA 20:42UA 456	6h 30m	62%	26%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON