Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, WN 1178 at 09:50, with a 16% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 1178 Southwest	SAN 09:50	OMA 15:01	16%	5%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SAN 06:15 → DTW 13:48DL 754	2h 12m Detroit	DTW 16:00 → OMA 17:10DL 3889 · flown by SkyWest	8h 55m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	SAN 06:15 → ATL 13:49DL 729	2h 36m Atlanta	ATL 16:25 → OMA 17:48DL 2364	9h 33m	99%	77%
Delta Details →	SAN 11:48 → MSP 17:40DL 2121	3h 50m Minneapolis	MSP 21:30 → OMA 22:48DL 4014 · flown by SkyWest	9h 00m	100%	74%
United Details →	SAN 13:39 → SFO 15:19UA 1763	3h 27m San Francisco	SFO 18:46 → OMA 00:17 +1UA 2839	8h 38m	97%	72%
Delta Details →	SAN 08:00 → ATL 15:33DL 1179	3h 57m Atlanta	ATL 19:30 → OMA 20:54DL 2707	10h 54m	97%	70%
United Details →	SAN 11:58 → IAH 17:25UA 2237	2h 30m Houston	IAH 19:55 → OMA 22:29UA 8246	8h 31m	97%	68%
United Details →	SAN 08:45 → DEN 12:17UA 2476	1h 33m Denver	DEN 13:50 → OMA 16:24UA 2327	5h 39m	90%	66%
American Details →	SAN 06:20 → DFW 11:35AA 2535	2h 46m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 14:21 → OMA 16:22AA 2269	8h 02m	97%	66%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	SAN 08:00 → ATL 15:33DL 1179	52m Atlanta	ATL 16:25 → OMA 17:48DL 2364	7h 48m	64%	49%
United Details →	SAN 16:09 → SFO 17:49UA 2117	57m San Francisco	SFO 18:46 → OMA 00:17 +1UA 2839	6h 08m	60%	44%
American Details →	SAN 15:20 → DFW 20:40AA 3060	50m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:30 → OMA 23:22AA 2628	6h 02m	66%	33%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON