Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 9 nonstops

Sun, Oct 11: DL 1702 at 06:43 is the safest bet, 6% chance of being 15+ min late; evening flights run 18–21%.

Safest bet that day DL 1702 SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53 · 6% chance 15+ min late · usually 92% on time Riskiest DL 3014 SAV 17:05 → ATL 18:19 · 21% chance 15+ min late · usually 79% on time

Every nonstop on Sun, Oct 11

12-month record →

Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late (typical odds: the weather this date has had in past years), with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.


DL 1702 Delta Flight history →	SAV 06:43	ATL 07:53	6%	2%	0.7%	92%
DL 3098 Delta Flight history →	SAV 05:39	ATL 06:45	6%	3%	0.7%	94%
DL 3011 Delta Flight history →	SAV 10:03	ATL 11:09	9%	3%	0.8%	90%
DL 686 Delta Flight history →	SAV 08:04	ATL 09:12	11%	3%	0.7%	87%
DL 3054 Delta Flight history →	SAV 12:39	ATL 13:54	11%	3%	0.7%	92%
DL 527 Delta Flight history →	SAV 20:14	ATL 21:35	18%	5%	0.9%	82%
DL 1067 Delta Flight history →	SAV 15:43	ATL 16:54	19%	4%	0.8%	81%
DL 3112 Delta Flight history →	SAV 19:07	ATL 20:34	19%	5%	0.9%	80%
DL 3014 Delta Flight history →	SAV 17:05	ATL 18:19	21%	4%	0.8%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON